Projections
Projected ranges from Sleeper baselines, adjusted for Vegas implied totals, usage trend, matchup, injuries and wind. Actual updates live during games.
Building projections…
Projected ranges from Sleeper baselines, adjusted for Vegas implied totals, usage trend, matchup, injuries and wind. Actual updates live during games.
Building projections…
2026 · Week 10 · Tap a name for details · Tap + to mark a player as yours
| Rk | Player | Tier | RangeProjected range: a realistic floor-to-ceiling outcome built from the median projection and the player's week-to-week volatility. Tier uses the median. | Actual | Season | Team total | VegasVegas: the team's implied point total (from the spread and over/under) vs its season scoring average. Higher-scoring game script → more fantasy points. Defenses flip this: a low opponent total helps. | UsageUsage: opportunities (targets + carries; QBs add dropbacks) over the last 3 games vs the season average. A rising role nudges the projection up. |
|---|
| MatchupMatchup: fantasy points the opponent allows to this position per game vs the league average. Soft defenses add, stingy ones subtract. |
|---|
| Inj/Wx |
|---|
| Snap L3 |
|---|
| Tgt L3 |
|---|
| Must Start15+ pts · 1 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Must Start | 16.97.131.7 | — | WR1161.1 | 23.5 | +2% | +1% | +2% | — | 83% | 38% | |
| Good Start10–14.99 pts · 11 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | Ja'Marr Chase | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Justin Jefferson | ||||||||||||
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Parker Washington | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Zay Flowers | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Chris Olave | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Tee Higgins | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Christian Watson | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Malik Nabers | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Rashee Rice | ||||||||||||
| Shaky Start7–9.99 pts · 14 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | Drake London | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Matthew Golden | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Tetairoa McMillan | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Nico Collins | ||||||||||||
| 17 | Garrett Wilson | ||||||||||||
| 18 | A.J. Brown | ||||||||||||
| 19 | Jameson Williams | ||||||||||||
| 20 | DK Metcalf | ||||||||||||
| 21 | DJ Moore | ||||||||||||
| 22 | Denzel Boston | ||||||||||||
| 23 | Jalen Coker | ||||||||||||
| 24 | George Pickens | ||||||||||||
| 25 | Jakobi Meyers | ||||||||||||
| 26 | Ladd McConkey | ||||||||||||
| Rather Not5–6.99 pts · 19 | |||||||||||||
| 27 | Germie Bernard | ||||||||||||
| 28 | KC Concepcion Jr. | ||||||||||||
| 29 | Jordan Addison | ||||||||||||
| 30 | Omar Cooper Jr. | ||||||||||||
| 31 | Carnell Tate | ||||||||||||
| 32 | Khalil Shakir | ||||||||||||
| 33 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | ||||||||||||
| 34 | DeMario Douglas | ||||||||||||
| 35 | Tutu Atwell | ||||||||||||
| 36 | Wan'Dale Robinson | ||||||||||||
| 37 | Caleb Douglas | ||||||||||||
| 38 | Stefon Diggs | ||||||||||||
| 39 | Mack Hollins | ||||||||||||
| 40 | Demarcus Robinson | ||||||||||||
| 41 | Adonai Mitchell | ||||||||||||
| 42 | Malik Washington | ||||||||||||
| 43 | Keon Coleman | ||||||||||||
| 44 | Jordan Watkins | ||||||||||||
| 45 | Jordyn Tyson | ||||||||||||
| NopeUnder 5 pts · 55 | |||||||||||||
| 46 | Konata Mumpfield | ||||||||||||
| 47 | Quentin Johnston | ||||||||||||
| 48 | Devaughn Vele | ||||||||||||
| 49 | Rashid Shaheed | ||||||||||||
| 50 | Antonio Williams | ||||||||||||
| 51 | Jahan Dotson | ||||||||||||
| 52 | Ryan Flournoy | ||||||||||||
| 53 | Xavier Worthy | ||||||||||||
| 54 | Elic Ayomanor | ||||||||||||
| 55 | Malachi Fields | ||||||||||||
| 56 | Cooper Kupp | ||||||||||||
| 57 | Tre Tucker | ||||||||||||
| 58 | Tank Dell | ||||||||||||
| 59 | Treylon Burks | ||||||||||||
| 60 | Josh Downs | ||||||||||||
| 61 | Keenan Allen | ||||||||||||
| 62 | Reggie Virgil | ||||||||||||
| 63 | Chimere Dike | ||||||||||||
| 64 | CJ Daniels | ||||||||||||
| 65 | Ashton Dulin | ||||||||||||
| 66 | Rashod Bateman | ||||||||||||
| 67 | Ja'Kobi Lane | ||||||||||||
| 68 | Laquon Treadwell | ||||||||||||
| 69 | Brian Thomas Jr. | ||||||||||||
| 70 | Josh Cameron | ||||||||||||
| 71 | Kayshon Boutte | ||||||||||||
| 72 | Xavier Hutchinson | ||||||||||||
| 73 | Tre' Harris | ||||||||||||
| 74 | Chris Bell | ||||||||||||
| 75 | Deion Burks | ||||||||||||
| 76 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | ||||||||||||
| 77 | Olamide Zaccheaus | ||||||||||||
| 78 | Isaac TeSlaa | ||||||||||||
| 79 | Simi Fehoko | ||||||||||||
| 80 | Savion Williams | ||||||||||||
| 81 | Calvin Ridley | ||||||||||||
| 82 | Anthony Gould | ||||||||||||
| 83 | Darnell Mooney | ||||||||||||
| 84 | Myles Price | ||||||||||||
| 85 | Jerry Jeudy | ||||||||||||
| 86 | Tory Horton | ||||||||||||
| 87 | Devontez Walker | ||||||||||||
| 88 | Efton Chism III | ||||||||||||
| 89 | Van Jefferson | ||||||||||||
| 90 | Jack Bech | ||||||||||||
| 91 | Dohnte Meyers | ||||||||||||
| 92 | Jalen Nailor | ||||||||||||
| 93 | Devin Duvernay | ||||||||||||
| 94 | Kevin Coleman Jr. | ||||||||||||
| 95 | Xavier Smith | ||||||||||||
| 96 | Ben Skowronek | ||||||||||||
| 97 | Kyle Williams | ||||||||||||
| 98 | KaVontae Turpin | ||||||||||||
| 99 | Brandin Cooks | ||||||||||||
| 100 | KeAndre Lambert-Smith | ||||||||||||
| Good Start |
| 13.75.026.7 |
| — |
| WR6106.7 |
| 26.5 |
| -6% |
| +10% |
| -3% |
| — |
| 89% |
| 34% |
| Good Start |
| 13.45.725.1 |
| — |
| WR2464.2 |
| 19.5 |
| +3% |
| +7% |
| +5% |
| — |
| 96% |
| 33% |
| Good Start |
| 12.51.928.4 |
| — |
| WR2131.8 |
| 25.8 |
| -3% |
| +2% |
| -5% |
| — |
| 84% |
| 44% |
| Good Start |
| 11.43.223.7 |
| — |
| WR896.6 |
| 26.0 |
| -3% |
| -2% |
| +7% |
| -8% |
| 75% |
| 36% |
| Good Start |
| 11.33.023.7 |
| — |
| WR1280.6 |
| 28.5 |
| — |
| -1% |
| +10% |
| — |
| 69% |
| 22% |
| Good Start |
| 11.12.024.6 |
| — |
| WR1184.5 |
| 21.5 |
| +1% |
| -2% |
| +6% |
| — |
| 78% |
| 30% |
| Good Start |
| 10.85.618.6 |
| — |
| WR1085.4 |
| 25.8 |
| +6% |
| -2% |
| — |
| — |
| 73% |
| 29% |
| Good Start |
| 10.81.724.4 |
| — |
| WR4111.8 |
| 26.5 |
| -6% |
| -2% |
| -3% |
| — |
| 81% |
| 23% |
| Good Start |
| 10.60.525.9 |
| — |
| WR3127.9 |
| 22.5 |
| -3% |
| +2% |
| -7% |
| — |
| 69% |
| 25% |
| Good Start |
| 10.22.222.2 |
| 0.8 |
| WR1676.8 |
| 17.6 |
| -11% |
| +3% |
| +3% |
| — |
| 79% |
| 33% |
| Good Start |
| 10.15.217.3 |
| — |
| WR5341.2 |
| 25.0 |
| — |
| +9% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 64% |
| 28% |
| Shaky Start |
| 10.03.719.4 |
| — |
| WR1577.6 |
| 22.0 |
| +3% |
| -3% |
| -9% |
| — |
| 91% |
| 25% |
| Shaky Start |
| 9.93.319.8 |
| — |
| WR5110.9 |
| 22.5 |
| -3% |
| +5% |
| -7% |
| — |
| 82% |
| 33% |
| Shaky Start |
| 9.30.024.3 |
| — |
| WR1378.5 |
| 23.3 |
| -3% |
| -5% |
| — |
| — |
| 79% |
| 23% |
| Shaky Start |
| 9.20.422.3 |
| — |
| WR2563.6 |
| 26.8 |
| +1% |
| -9% |
| -2% |
| — |
| 71% |
| 15% |
| Shaky Start |
| 9.12.718.6 |
| — |
| WR1970.7 |
| 21.5 |
| +3% |
| -4% |
| +3% |
| -8% |
| 88% |
| 23% |
| Shaky Start |
| 9.04.715.6 |
| — |
| WR11910.1 |
| 23.5 |
| — |
| — |
| +4% |
| -8% |
| 70% |
| 22% |
| Shaky Start |
| 9.01.520.3 |
| — |
| WR1477.7 |
| 26.0 |
| -3% |
| +1% |
| +7% |
| — |
| 83% |
| 20% |
| Shaky Start |
| 8.84.415.5 |
| — |
| WR4044.9 |
| 23.0 |
| +1% |
| +4% |
| -1% |
| — |
| 93% |
| 28% |
| Shaky Start |
| 8.01.018.4 |
| — |
| WR5540.5 |
| 29.5 |
| -4% |
| -2% |
| -4% |
| — |
| 55% |
| 15% |
| Shaky Start |
| 7.92.615.9 |
| — |
| WR2070.7 |
| 18.0 |
| — |
| +10% |
| +5% |
| -8% |
| 88% |
| 25% |
| Shaky Start |
| 7.40.019.3 |
| — |
| WR2955.0 |
| 23.3 |
| -3% |
| -10% |
| — |
| — |
| 78% |
| 14% |
| Shaky Start |
| 7.31.516.1 |
| — |
| WR2365.3 |
| 25.8 |
| -3% |
| -3% |
| -5% |
| -8% |
| 68% |
| 19% |
| Shaky Start |
| 7.02.813.4 |
| — |
| WR3449.6 |
| 28.5 |
| — |
| +10% |
| +10% |
| -8% |
| 66% |
| 22% |
| Shaky Start |
| 7.01.315.5 |
| — |
| WR6534.6 |
| 17.0 |
| +6% |
| -9% |
| +3% |
| -8% |
| 45% |
| 10% |
| Rather Not |
| 7.01.515.2 |
| — |
| WR6334.8 |
| 23.0 |
| +1% |
| +7% |
| -1% |
| — |
| 90% |
| 23% |
| Rather Not |
| 6.80.516.3 |
| — |
| WR3351.4 |
| 18.0 |
| — |
| +4% |
| +5% |
| — |
| 85% |
| 20% |
| Rather Not |
| 6.71.015.2 |
| — |
| WR5935.9 |
| 19.5 |
| +3% |
| -3% |
| +5% |
| — |
| 92% |
| 17% |
| Rather Not |
| 6.30.016.6 |
| — |
| WR4842.6 |
| 21.5 |
| +3% |
| +10% |
| +3% |
| -8% |
| 77% |
| 26% |
| Rather Not |
| 6.31.014.3 |
| — |
| WR4543.3 |
| 18.0 |
| — |
| -5% |
| +2% |
| -8% |
| 80% |
| 23% |
| Rather Not |
| 6.33.310.8 |
| — |
| WR3945.2 |
| 29.5 |
| -4% |
| +1% |
| -4% |
| — |
| 60% |
| 17% |
| Rather Not |
| 6.20.016.3 |
| — |
| WR4144.4 |
| 29.8 |
| +1% |
| -3% |
| +4% |
| -8% |
| 62% |
| 11% |
| Rather Not |
| 6.00.015.6 |
| — |
| WR2265.4 |
| 23.5 |
| — |
| +2% |
| +4% |
| — |
| 66% |
| 18% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.93.110.2 |
| — |
| WR1209.9 |
| 24.5 |
| +2% |
| +10% |
| +1% |
| — |
| 42% |
| 10% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.91.312.9 |
| — |
| WR4942.3 |
| 18.0 |
| — |
| +2% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 71% |
| 23% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.90.015.3 |
| — |
| WR5241.6 |
| 16.8 |
| +3% |
| +2% |
| -3% |
| — |
| 76% |
| 24% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.70.213.9 |
| 3.4 |
| WR2760.3 |
| 18.9 |
| -6% |
| -5% |
| -2% |
| — |
| 62% |
| 19% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.72.310.7 |
| — |
| WR8030.5 |
| 23.5 |
| — |
| +8% |
| +4% |
| — |
| 62% |
| 19% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.60.912.6 |
| — |
| WR10516.6 |
| 29.8 |
| +1% |
| — |
| +4% |
| — |
| 48% |
| 14% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.60.014.6 |
| — |
| WR7332.5 |
| 21.5 |
| +3% |
| -2% |
| +3% |
| — |
| 65% |
| 21% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.32.59.5 |
| — |
| WR4742.8 |
| 16.8 |
| +3% |
| -10% |
| -3% |
| — |
| 77% |
| 16% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.20.013.7 |
| — |
| WR3548.4 |
| 29.5 |
| -4% |
| +7% |
| -4% |
| — |
| 74% |
| 17% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.00.013.2 |
| — |
| WR8228.4 |
| 29.8 |
| +1% |
| +4% |
| +4% |
| — |
| 76% |
| 12% |
| Rather Not |
| 5.02.09.6 |
| — |
| WR1801.0 |
| 25.8 |
| +6% |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 24% |
| 16% |
| Nope |
| 4.90.012.9 |
| — |
| WR9322.2 |
| 24.5 |
| +2% |
| -10% |
| +1% |
| — |
| 46% |
| 7% |
| Nope |
| 4.80.710.9 |
| — |
| WR7232.8 |
| 17.0 |
| +6% |
| -5% |
| +3% |
| — |
| 82% |
| 12% |
| Nope |
| 4.70.012.2 |
| — |
| WR3054.5 |
| 25.8 |
| +6% |
| -8% |
| — |
| — |
| 91% |
| 15% |
| Nope |
| 4.70.211.4 |
| — |
| WR8626.2 |
| 23.5 |
| +2% |
| +3% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 41% |
| 14% |
| Nope |
| 4.70.710.6 |
| 0.0 |
| WR6734.4 |
| 18.9 |
| -6% |
| +6% |
| -2% |
| — |
| 78% |
| 18% |
| Nope |
| 4.70.012.2 |
| — |
| WR3747.3 |
| 22.0 |
| +3% |
| -2% |
| -9% |
| — |
| 71% |
| 13% |
| Nope |
| 4.70.810.4 |
| — |
| WR3251.8 |
| 25.8 |
| -3% |
| -9% |
| -5% |
| — |
| 81% |
| 13% |
| Nope |
| 4.61.29.8 |
| — |
| WR7033.8 |
| 25.0 |
| — |
| +1% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 85% |
| 18% |
| Nope |
| 4.51.78.9 |
| — |
| WR8327.1 |
| 18.0 |
| — |
| +10% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 72% |
| 15% |
| Nope |
| 4.50.610.4 |
| 0.0 |
| WR6434.8 |
| 17.6 |
| -11% |
| +10% |
| +3% |
| — |
| 84% |
| 19% |
| Nope |
| 4.20.89.4 |
| — |
| WR6035.8 |
| 23.5 |
| +2% |
| -7% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 77% |
| 10% |
| Nope |
| 4.00.010.4 |
| — |
| WR1776.3 |
| 17.0 |
| -15% |
| +3% |
| -9% |
| — |
| 67% |
| 19% |
| Nope |
| 3.91.57.3 |
| — |
| WR9821.0 |
| 26.8 |
| +1% |
| — |
| -2% |
| — |
| 35% |
| 14% |
| Nope |
| 3.90.010.1 |
| 2.7 |
| WR6235.3 |
| 18.9 |
| -6% |
| +10% |
| -2% |
| — |
| 65% |
| 19% |
| Nope |
| 3.70.88.0 |
| — |
| WR5142.1 |
| 25.0 |
| — |
| -8% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 79% |
| 18% |
| Nope |
| 3.50.09.1 |
| — |
| WR5441.1 |
| 29.8 |
| +1% |
| -6% |
| +4% |
| — |
| 52% |
| 21% |
| Nope |
| 3.51.86.0 |
| — |
| WR1425.4 |
| 15.0 |
| -12% |
| — |
| -4% |
| — |
| 33% |
| 10% |
| Nope |
| 3.40.08.8 |
| — |
| WR10814.4 |
| 18.0 |
| — |
| +8% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 40% |
| 5% |
| Nope |
| 3.31.75.8 |
| — |
| WR2190.0 |
| 24.5 |
| +2% |
| — |
| +1% |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| Nope |
| 3.30.08.5 |
| — |
| WR10715.0 |
| 16.8 |
| -9% |
| -10% |
| -7% |
| — |
| 18% |
| 2% |
| Nope |
| 3.20.08.3 |
| — |
| WR6135.4 |
| 21.5 |
| +1% |
| -5% |
| +6% |
| -8% |
| 70% |
| 12% |
| Nope |
| 3.11.45.5 |
| — |
| WR1258.9 |
| 21.5 |
| +1% |
| -10% |
| +6% |
| — |
| 64% |
| 6% |
| Nope |
| 3.10.96.4 |
| — |
| WR9521.5 |
| 16.8 |
| -9% |
| -10% |
| -7% |
| — |
| 75% |
| 6% |
| Nope |
| 3.00.07.8 |
| — |
| WR9123.7 |
| 28.5 |
| — |
| -8% |
| +10% |
| — |
| 41% |
| 8% |
| Nope |
| 3.00.07.8 |
| — |
| WR8924.3 |
| 28.5 |
| — |
| -10% |
| +10% |
| — |
| 49% |
| 3% |
| Nope |
| 3.00.07.8 |
| — |
| WR4443.9 |
| 26.8 |
| +1% |
| -2% |
| -2% |
| — |
| 35% |
| 10% |
| Nope |
| 2.90.07.6 |
| — |
| WR5042.3 |
| 26.8 |
| +1% |
| -5% |
| -2% |
| — |
| 64% |
| 15% |
| Nope |
| 2.80.07.1 |
| — |
| WR8726.2 |
| 17.0 |
| +6% |
| -2% |
| +3% |
| -8% |
| 60% |
| 17% |
| Nope |
| 2.60.16.5 |
| — |
| WR10417.2 |
| 16.8 |
| +3% |
| +3% |
| -3% |
| -8% |
| 60% |
| 13% |
| Nope |
| 2.60.95.3 |
| — |
| WR1298.1 |
| 16.8 |
| -9% |
| -10% |
| -7% |
| — |
| 23% |
| 4% |
| Nope |
| 2.50.06.6 |
| — |
| WR8426.5 |
| 26.8 |
| +1% |
| +2% |
| -2% |
| -8% |
| 29% |
| 12% |
| Nope |
| 2.51.34.3 |
| — |
| WR1572.6 |
| 22.0 |
| +3% |
| +10% |
| -9% |
| — |
| 52% |
| 11% |
| Nope |
| 2.50.06.6 |
| — |
| WR10020.6 |
| 26.0 |
| -3% |
| -10% |
| +7% |
| — |
| 47% |
| 7% |
| Nope |
| 2.51.34.3 |
| — |
| WR1701.7 |
| 15.0 |
| -12% |
| +10% |
| -4% |
| — |
| 35% |
| 2% |
| Nope |
| 2.40.06.3 |
| — |
| WR9721.3 |
| 22.5 |
| -3% |
| -2% |
| -7% |
| -8% |
| 54% |
| 9% |
| Nope |
| 2.40.74.9 |
| — |
| WR1239.1 |
| 18.0 |
| — |
| +8% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 56% |
| 8% |
| Nope |
| 2.41.24.1 |
| — |
| WR1721.6 |
| 16.8 |
| -9% |
| +10% |
| -7% |
| — |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| Nope |
| 2.20.25.2 |
| 0.8 |
| WR10119.5 |
| 17.6 |
| -11% |
| +2% |
| +3% |
| — |
| 49% |
| 10% |
| Nope |
| 2.21.13.8 |
| — |
| WR1741.4 |
| 19.5 |
| +3% |
| -4% |
| +5% |
| — |
| 22% |
| 4% |
| Nope |
| 2.10.05.6 |
| — |
| WR9920.8 |
| 18.0 |
| — |
| -5% |
| +5% |
| — |
| 63% |
| 9% |
| Nope |
| 2.00.05.3 |
| — |
| WR10219.5 |
| 23.5 |
| +2% |
| +2% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 58% |
| 11% |
| Nope |
| 1.90.05.1 |
| — |
| WR11013.5 |
| 21.5 |
| +1% |
| +4% |
| +6% |
| — |
| 64% |
| 7% |
| Nope |
| 1.90.04.9 |
| — |
| WR7830.8 |
| 23.5 |
| — |
| +4% |
| +4% |
| — |
| 67% |
| 15% |
| Nope |
| 1.80.04.8 |
| 0.0 |
| WR11511.8 |
| 18.9 |
| -6% |
| — |
| -2% |
| — |
| 35% |
| 12% |
| Nope |
| 1.80.04.7 |
| — |
| WR11611.7 |
| 17.0 |
| -15% |
| — |
| -9% |
| — |
| 43% |
| 9% |
| Nope |
| 1.80.04.7 |
| — |
| WR8824.8 |
| 26.5 |
| -6% |
| -5% |
| -3% |
| — |
| 46% |
| 8% |
| Nope |
| 1.60.04.3 |
| — |
| WR10318.2 |
| 17.0 |
| -15% |
| +3% |
| -9% |
| — |
| 65% |
| 13% |
| Nope |
| 1.60.82.7 |
| — |
| WR1662.2 |
| 15.0 |
| -12% |
| +10% |
| -4% |
| — |
| 29% |
| 4% |
| Nope |
| 1.50.04.0 |
| — |
| WR9421.8 |
| 16.8 |
| +3% |
| -10% |
| -3% |
| — |
| 20% |
| 5% |
| Nope |
| 1.50.82.6 |
| — |
| WR2080.0 |
| 24.5 |
| +2% |
| — |
| +1% |
| — |
| 37% |
| 1% |
| Nope |
| 1.40.03.8 |
| — |
| WR1219.2 |
| 23.0 |
| +1% |
| — |
| -1% |
| — |
| 17% |
| 4% |
| Nope |
| 1.40.03.7 |
| — |
| WR7731.0 |
| 23.5 |
| — |
| -7% |
| +4% |
| — |
| 67% |
| 5% |
| Nope |
| 1.30.03.5 |
| — |
| WR1268.9 |
| 25.8 |
| -3% |
| -4% |
| -5% |
| -8% |
| 17% |
| 3% |
| Nope |
| 1.30.03.4 |
| — |
| WR11411.8 |
| 29.8 |
| +1% |
| +6% |
| +4% |
| — |
| 55% |
| 8% |
| Nope |
| 1.20.03.1 |
| — |
| WR1386.2 |
| 17.0 |
| +6% |
| — |
| +3% |
| — |
| 49% |
| 13% |