Sleeper baseline stat projections, adjusted for Vegas implied team totals, recent usage trend, opponent points allowed by position, injuries and wind. Scored with your selected format.
Building projections…
2026 · Week 10 · Usage data through week 9 · Tap + to mark a player as yours
| Rk | Player | Tier | Proj | Floor | Ceiling | Team total | Base | Vegas | Usage | Matchup | Inj/Wx | Snap L3 | Tgt L3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Must Start15+ pts · 12 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 |  Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR1 · SEA v LV | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | ||||||||||||
| Must Start |
| 24.1 |
| 16.7 |
| 35.3 |
| 23.5 |
| 22.8 |
| +2% |
| +1% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 83% |
| 38% |
| 2 |  Justin JeffersonWR2 · MIN v GB | Justin Jefferson | Must Start | 20.5 | 13.9 | 30.5 | 19.5 | 17.6 | +3% | +7% | +5% | — | 96% | 33% |
| 3 |  Ja'Marr ChaseWR3 · CIN v PIT | Ja'Marr Chase | Must Start | 19.9 | 11.9 | 32.1 | 26.5 | 19.9 | -6% | +10% | -3% | — | 89% | 34% |
| 4 |  CeeDee LambWR4 · DAL v SF | CeeDee Lamb | Must Start | 19.1 | 9.8 | 33.1 | 25.8 | 20.2 | -3% | +2% | -5% | — | 84% | 44% |
| 5 |  Amon-Ra St. BrownQuestionableWR5 · DET v NE | Amon-Ra St. Brown | Must Start | 18.0 | 12.1 | 27.0 | 26.0 | 19.2 | -3% | -2% | +7% | -8% | 75% | 36% |
| 6 |  Zay FlowersWR6 · BAL v LAC | Zay Flowers | Must Start | 17.1 | 9.5 | 28.4 | 21.5 | 16.2 | +1% | -2% | +6% | — | 78% | 30% |
| 7 |  Chris OlaveWR7 · NO v CAR | Chris Olave | Must Start | 16.9 | 12.2 | 24.0 | 25.8 | 16.4 | +6% | -2% | — | — | 73% | 29% |
| 8 |  Parker WashingtonWR8 · JAX v TEN | Parker Washington | Must Start | 16.0 | 9.3 | 26.2 | 28.5 | 14.7 | — | -1% | +10% | — | 69% | 22% |
| 9 |  Rashee RiceWR9 · KC v ATL | Rashee Rice | Must Start | 15.8 | 13.1 | 19.8 | 25.0 | 14.3 | — | +9% | +2% | — | 64% | 28% |
| 10 |  Malik NabersWR10 · NYG v WAS | Malik Nabers | Must Start | 15.5 | 7.8 | 26.9 | 17.4 | 16.4 | -12% | +3% | +3% | — | 79% | 33% |
| 11 |  Tee HigginsWR11 · CIN v PIT | Tee Higgins | Must Start | 15.4 | 7.4 | 27.4 | 26.5 | 17.1 | -6% | -2% | -3% | — | 81% | 23% |
| 12 |  Drake LondonWR12 · ATL v KC | Drake London | Must Start | 15.2 | 9.1 | 24.2 | 22.0 | 16.7 | +3% | -3% | -9% | — | 91% | 25% |
| Good Start10–14.99 pts · 18 | ||||||||||||||
| 13 |  Matthew GoldenWR13 · GB v MIN | Matthew Golden | Good Start | 14.4 | 8.9 | 22.7 | 22.5 | 15.3 | -3% | +5% | -7% | — | 82% | 33% |
| 14 |  Christian WatsonWR14 · GB v MIN | Christian Watson | Good Start | 14.3 | 6.7 | 25.7 | 22.5 | 15.6 | -3% | +2% | -7% | — | 69% | 25% |
| 15 |  Tetairoa McMillanWR15 · CAR v NO | Tetairoa McMillan | Good Start | 14.3 | 4.8 | 28.5 | 23.3 | 15.5 | -3% | -5% | — | — | 79% | 23% |
| 16 |  Garrett WilsonQuestionableWR16 · NYJ v BUF | Garrett Wilson | Good Start | 13.7 | 8.2 | 21.9 | 21.5 | 14.6 | +3% | -4% | +3% | -8% | 88% | 23% |
| 17 |  A.J. BrownQuestionableWR17 · NE v DET | A.J. Brown | Good Start | 13.6 | 12.9 | 14.7 | 23.5 | 14.2 | — | — | +4% | -8% | 70% | 22% |
| 18 |  Nico CollinsWR18 · HOU v CLE | Nico Collins | Good Start | 13.3 | 6.1 | 24.0 | 26.8 | 14.8 | +1% | -9% | -2% | — | 71% | 15% |
| 19 |  DK MetcalfWR19 · PIT v CIN | DK Metcalf | Good Start | 13.0 | 8.4 | 19.9 | 23.0 | 12.5 | +1% | +4% | -1% | — | 93% | 28% |
| 20 |  Jameson WilliamsWR20 · DET v NE | Jameson Williams | Good Start | 13.0 | 7.4 | 21.3 | 26.0 | 12.4 | -3% | +1% | +7% | — | 83% | 20% |
| 21 |  Germie BernardWR21 · PIT v CIN | Germie Bernard | Good Start | 11.6 | 5.5 | 20.6 | 23.0 | 10.8 | +1% | +7% | -1% | — | 90% | 23% |
| 22 |  DJ MooreWR22 · BUF v NYJ | DJ Moore | Good Start | 11.4 | 5.4 | 20.4 | 29.5 | 12.6 | -4% | -2% | -4% | — | 55% | 15% |
| 23 |  George PickensQuestionableWR23 · DAL v SF | George Pickens | Good Start | 11.3 | 6.4 | 18.5 | 25.8 | 13.7 | -3% | -3% | -5% | -8% | 68% | 19% |
| 24 |  Jalen CokerWR24 · CAR v NO | Jalen Coker | Good Start | 11.2 | 3.3 | 23.2 | 23.3 | 12.9 | -3% | -10% | — | — | 78% | 14% |
| 25 |  KC Concepcion Jr.WR25 · CLE v HOU | KC Concepcion Jr. | Good Start | 11.2 | 5.9 | 19.2 | 18.0 | 10.2 | — | +4% | +5% | — | 85% | 20% |
| 26 |  Denzel BostonQuestionableWR26 · CLE v HOU | Denzel Boston | Good Start | 11.1 | 7.3 | 16.8 | 18.0 | 10.4 | — | +10% | +5% | -8% | 88% | 25% |
| 27 |  Jakobi MeyersQuestionableWR27 · JAX v TEN | Jakobi Meyers | Good Start | 10.8 | 7.1 | 16.4 | 28.5 | 9.7 | — | +10% | +10% | -8% | 66% | 22% |
| 28 |  Ladd McConkeyQuestionableWR28 · LAC v BAL | Ladd McConkey | Good Start | 10.6 | 5.9 | 17.7 | 17.0 | 11.6 | +6% | -9% | +3% | -8% | 45% | 10% |
| 29 |  Carnell TateQuestionableWR29 · TEN v JAX | Carnell Tate | Good Start | 10.5 | 5.7 | 17.8 | 18.0 | 11.8 | — | -5% | +2% | -8% | 80% | 23% |
| 30 |  Wan'Dale RobinsonWR30 · TEN v JAX | Wan'Dale Robinson | Good Start | 10.1 | 5.8 | 16.5 | 18.0 | 9.7 | — | +2% | +2% | — | 71% | 23% |
| Shaky Start7–9.99 pts · 20 | ||||||||||||||
| 31 |  Jordan AddisonWR31 · MIN v GB | Jordan Addison | Shaky Start | 9.8 | 4.9 | 17.1 | 19.5 | 9.3 | +3% | -3% | +5% | — | 92% | 17% |
| 32 |  Khalil ShakirWR32 · BUF v NYJ | Khalil Shakir | Shaky Start | 9.7 | 6.8 | 14.1 | 29.5 | 10.5 | -4% | +1% | -4% | — | 60% | 17% |
| 33 |  Deebo Samuel Sr.QuestionableWR33 · SF v DAL | Deebo Samuel Sr. | Shaky Start | 9.6 | 4.9 | 16.6 | 29.8 | 10.3 | +1% | -3% | +4% | -8% | 62% | 11% |
| 34 |  Omar Cooper Jr.QuestionableWR34 · NYJ v BUF | Omar Cooper Jr. | Shaky Start | 9.4 | 3.8 | 17.7 | 21.5 | 8.7 | +3% | +10% | +3% | -8% | 77% | 26% |
| 35 |  Stefon DiggsWR35 · WAS v NYG | Stefon Diggs | Shaky Start | 9.2 | 5.3 | 15.1 | 19.9 | 10.2 | -4% | -5% | -2% | — | 62% | 19% |
| 36 |  Caleb DouglasWR36 · MIA v IND | Caleb Douglas | Shaky Start | 9.1 | 4.5 | 16.0 | 16.8 | 8.9 | +3% | +2% | -3% | — | 76% | 24% |
| 37 |  DeMario DouglasWR37 · NE v DET | DeMario Douglas | Shaky Start | 9.1 | 3.2 | 17.8 | 23.5 | 8.6 | — | +2% | +4% | — | 66% | 18% |
| 38 |  Mack HollinsWR38 · NE v DET | Mack Hollins | Shaky Start | 9.0 | 6.0 | 13.6 | 23.5 | 8.1 | — | +8% | +4% | — | 62% | 19% |
| 39 |  Malik WashingtonWR39 · MIA v IND | Malik Washington | Shaky Start | 8.6 | 5.8 | 12.7 | 16.8 | 9.5 | +3% | -10% | -3% | — | 77% | 16% |
| 40 |  Jordyn TysonWR40 · NO v CAR | Jordyn Tyson | Shaky Start | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 25.8 | 8.1 | +6% | — | — | — | 24% | 16% |
| 41 |  Tutu AtwellWR41 · LAR v ARI | Tutu Atwell | Shaky Start | 8.5 | 6.8 | 10.9 | 24.5 | 7.5 | +2% | +10% | +1% | — | 42% | 10% |
| 42 |  Demarcus RobinsonWR42 · SF v DAL | Demarcus Robinson | Shaky Start | 8.3 | 5.6 | 12.4 | 29.8 | 8.0 | +1% | — | +4% | — | 48% | 14% |
| 43 |  Adonai MitchellWR43 · NYJ v BUF | Adonai Mitchell | Shaky Start | 8.2 | 2.3 | 17.0 | 21.5 | 7.9 | +3% | -2% | +3% | — | 65% | 21% |
| 44 |  Xavier WorthyWR44 · KC v ATL | Xavier Worthy | Shaky Start | 8.0 | 4.6 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 7.8 | — | +1% | +2% | — | 85% | 18% |
| 45 |  Antonio WilliamsWR45 · WAS v NYG | Antonio Williams | Shaky Start | 7.9 | 4.8 | 12.6 | 19.9 | 7.9 | -4% | +6% | -2% | — | 78% | 18% |
| 46 |  Keon ColemanWR46 · BUF v NYJ | Keon Coleman | Shaky Start | 7.8 | 2.2 | 16.2 | 29.5 | 7.8 | -4% | +7% | -4% | — | 74% | 17% |
| 47 |  Devaughn VeleWR47 · NO v CAR | Devaughn Vele | Shaky Start | 7.7 | 3.2 | 14.4 | 25.8 | 7.9 | +6% | -8% | — | — | 91% | 15% |
| 48 |  Ryan FlournoyWR48 · DAL v SF | Ryan Flournoy | Shaky Start | 7.6 | 4.4 | 12.4 | 25.8 | 9.0 | -3% | -9% | -5% | — | 81% | 13% |
| 49 |  Jordan WatkinsWR49 · SF v DAL | Jordan Watkins | Shaky Start | 7.3 | 2.8 | 14.0 | 29.8 | 6.7 | +1% | +4% | +4% | — | 76% | 12% |
| 50 |  Quentin JohnstonWR50 · LAC v BAL | Quentin Johnston | Shaky Start | 7.1 | 4.5 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 6.9 | +6% | -5% | +3% | — | 82% | 12% |
| Rather Not5–6.99 pts · 16 | ||||||||||||||
| 51 |  Rashid ShaheedWR51 · SEA v LV | Rashid Shaheed | Rather Not | 7.0 | 3.6 | 11.9 | 23.5 | 6.4 | +2% | +3% | +2% | — | 41% | 14% |
| 52 |  Konata MumpfieldWR52 · LAR v ARI | Konata Mumpfield | Rather Not | 6.9 | 2.2 | 14.0 | 24.5 | 7.5 | +2% | -10% | +1% | — | 46% | 7% |
| 53 |  Elic AyomanorWR53 · TEN v JAX | Elic Ayomanor | Rather Not | 6.6 | 4.4 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 5.9 | — | +10% | +2% | — | 72% | 15% |
| 54 |  Cooper KuppWR54 · SEA v LV | Cooper Kupp | Rather Not | 6.6 | 3.7 | 11.0 | 23.5 | 6.8 | +2% | -7% | +2% | — | 77% | 10% |
| 55 |  Malachi FieldsWR55 · NYG v WAS | Malachi Fields | Rather Not | 6.5 | 3.6 | 10.9 | 17.4 | 6.5 | -12% | +10% | +3% | — | 84% | 19% |
| 56 |  Jahan DotsonWR56 · ATL v KC | Jahan Dotson | Rather Not | 6.5 | 2.1 | 13.1 | 22.0 | 7.1 | +3% | -2% | -9% | — | 71% | 13% |
| 57 |  Tank DellWR57 · HOU v CLE | Tank Dell | Rather Not | 6.2 | 1.7 | 12.9 | 26.8 | 6.3 | +1% | — | -2% | — | 35% | 14% |
| 58 |  Tre TuckerWR58 · LV v SEA | Tre Tucker | Rather Not | 6.0 | 1.7 | 12.4 | 17.0 | 7.5 | -15% | +3% | -9% | — | 67% | 19% |
| 59 |  Josh DownsWR59 · KC v ATL | Josh Downs | Rather Not | 5.9 | 3.0 | 10.3 | 25.0 | 6.3 | — | -8% | +2% | — | 79% | 18% |
| 60 |  Treylon BurksWR60 · WAS v NYG | Treylon Burks | Rather Not | 5.7 | 2.3 | 10.8 | 19.9 | 5.5 | -4% | +10% | -2% | — | 65% | 19% |
| 61 |  Reggie VirgilWR61 · ARI v LAR | Reggie Virgil | Rather Not | 5.7 | 4.0 | 8.2 | 15.0 | 6.8 | -12% | — | -4% | — | 33% | 10% |
| 62 |  Keenan AllenWR62 · SF v DAL | Keenan Allen | Rather Not | 5.7 | 1.6 | 11.8 | 29.8 | 5.8 | +1% | -6% | +4% | — | 52% | 21% |
| 63 |  Chimere DikeWR63 · TEN v JAX | Chimere Dike | Rather Not | 5.5 | 1.5 | 11.4 | 18.0 | 5.0 | — | +8% | +2% | — | 40% | 5% |
| 64 |  Ja'Kobi LaneWR64 · BAL v LAC | Ja'Kobi Lane | Rather Not | 5.3 | 3.1 | 8.7 | 21.5 | 5.5 | +1% | -10% | +6% | — | 64% | 6% |
| 65 |  Rashod BatemanQuestionableWR65 · BAL v LAC | Rashod Bateman | Rather Not | 5.1 | 1.7 | 10.1 | 21.5 | 5.4 | +1% | -5% | +6% | -8% | 70% | 12% |
| 66 |  CJ DanielsWR66 · LAR v ARI | CJ Daniels | Rather Not | 5.0 | 3.2 | 7.7 | 24.5 | 4.9 | +2% | — | +1% | — | — | — |
| NopeUnder 5 pts · 34 | ||||||||||||||
| 67 |  Laquon TreadwellWR67 · IND v MIA | Laquon Treadwell | Nope | 5.0 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 16.8 | 6.5 | -9% | -10% | -7% | — | 75% | 6% |
| 68 |  Ashton DulinWR68 · IND v MIA | Ashton Dulin | Nope | 4.9 | 1.4 | 10.2 | 16.8 | 6.4 | -9% | -10% | -7% | — | 18% | 2% |
| 69 |  Tre' HarrisQuestionableWR69 · LAC v BAL | Tre' Harris | Nope | 4.7 | 2.3 | 8.3 | 17.0 | 4.8 | +6% | -2% | +3% | -8% | 60% | 17% |
| 70 |  Xavier HutchinsonWR70 · HOU v CLE | Xavier Hutchinson | Nope | 4.6 | 2.3 | 8.1 | 26.8 | 4.9 | +1% | -5% | -2% | — | 64% | 15% |
| 71 |  Kayshon BoutteWR71 · HOU v CLE | Kayshon Boutte | Nope | 4.6 | 1.3 | 9.5 | 26.8 | 4.7 | +1% | -2% | -2% | — | 35% | 10% |
| 72 |  Brian Thomas Jr.WR72 · JAX v TEN | Brian Thomas Jr. | Nope | 4.5 | 1.5 | 9.1 | 28.5 | 4.5 | — | -8% | +10% | — | 41% | 8% |
| 73 |  Deion BurksWR73 · IND v MIA | Deion Burks | Nope | 4.4 | 2.8 | 6.9 | 16.8 | 5.8 | -9% | -10% | -7% | — | 23% | 4% |
| 74 |  Josh CameronWR74 · JAX v TEN | Josh Cameron | Nope | 4.3 | 1.2 | 9.0 | 28.5 | 4.4 | — | -10% | +10% | — | 49% | 3% |
| 75 |  Chris BellQuestionableWR75 · MIA v IND | Chris Bell | Nope | 4.1 | 1.5 | 8.1 | 16.8 | 4.3 | +3% | +3% | -3% | -8% | 60% | 13% |
| 76 |  Anthony GouldWR76 · IND v MIA | Anthony Gould | Nope | 4.1 | 3.3 | 5.3 | 16.8 | 4.4 | -9% | +10% | -7% | — | 1% | 1% |
| 77 |  Simi FehokoWR77 · ARI v LAR | Simi Fehoko | Nope | 4.1 | 3.3 | 5.2 | 15.0 | 4.4 | -12% | +10% | -4% | — | 35% | 2% |
| 78 |  Savion WilliamsQuestionableWR78 · GB v MIN | Savion Williams | Nope | 4.0 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 22.5 | 4.9 | -3% | -2% | -7% | -8% | 54% | 9% |
| 79 |  Olamide ZaccheausWR79 · ATL v KC | Olamide Zaccheaus | Nope | 3.9 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 22.0 | 3.8 | +3% | +10% | -9% | — | 52% | 11% |
| 80 |  Isaac TeSlaaWR80 · DET v NE | Isaac TeSlaa | Nope | 3.8 | 1.1 | 8.0 | 26.0 | 4.1 | -3% | -10% | +7% | — | 47% | 7% |
| 81 |  Calvin RidleyWR81 · TEN v JAX | Calvin Ridley | Nope | 3.7 | 1.9 | 6.3 | 18.0 | 3.3 | — | +8% | +2% | — | 56% | 8% |
| 82 |  Marvin Harrison Jr.QuestionableWR82 · HOU v CLE | Marvin Harrison Jr. | Nope | 3.6 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 26.8 | 3.9 | +1% | +2% | -2% | -8% | 29% | 12% |
| 83 |  Jerry JeudyWR83 · CLE v HOU | Jerry Jeudy | Nope | 3.6 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 18.0 | 3.5 | — | -5% | +5% | — | 63% | 9% |
| 84 |  Myles PriceWR84 · MIN v GB | Myles Price | Nope | 3.5 | 1.8 | 5.9 | 19.5 | 3.3 | +3% | -4% | +5% | — | 22% | 4% |
| 85 |  Darnell MooneyWR85 · NYG v WAS | Darnell Mooney | Nope | 3.3 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 17.4 | 3.5 | -12% | +2% | +3% | — | 49% | 10% |
| 86 |  Tory HortonWR86 · SEA v LV | Tory Horton | Nope | 3.1 | 0.9 | 6.4 | 23.5 | 2.9 | +2% | +2% | +2% | — | 58% | 11% |
| 87 |  Van JeffersonWR87 · WAS v NYG | Van Jefferson | Nope | 3.0 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 19.9 | 3.2 | -4% | — | -2% | — | 35% | 12% |
| 88 |  Jack BechWR88 · LV v SEA | Jack Bech | Nope | 3.0 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 17.0 | 3.8 | -15% | — | -9% | — | 43% | 9% |
| 89 |  Efton Chism IIIWR89 · NE v DET | Efton Chism III | Nope | 2.9 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 23.5 | 2.7 | — | +4% | +4% | — | 67% | 15% |
| 90 |  Devin DuvernayWR90 · ARI v LAR | Devin Duvernay | Nope | 2.9 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 15.0 | 3.2 | -12% | +10% | -4% | — | 29% | 4% |
| 91 |  Dohnte MeyersWR91 · CIN v PIT | Dohnte Meyers | Nope | 2.8 | 0.8 | 5.9 | 26.5 | 3.2 | -6% | -5% | -3% | — | 46% | 8% |
| 92 |  Devontez WalkerWR92 · BAL v LAC | Devontez Walker | Nope | 2.8 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 21.5 | 2.5 | +1% | +4% | +6% | — | 64% | 7% |
| 93 |  Jalen NailorWR93 · LV v SEA | Jalen Nailor | Nope | 2.6 | 0.7 | 5.5 | 17.0 | 3.3 | -15% | +3% | -9% | — | 65% | 13% |
| 94 |  Xavier SmithWR94 · LAR v ARI | Xavier Smith | Nope | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 24.5 | 2.4 | +2% | — | +1% | — | 37% | 1% |
| 95 |  Kevin Coleman Jr.WR95 · MIA v IND | Kevin Coleman Jr. | Nope | 2.3 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 16.8 | 2.6 | +3% | -10% | -3% | — | 20% | 5% |
| 96 |  Ben SkowronekWR96 · PIT v CIN | Ben Skowronek | Nope | 2.1 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 23.0 | 2.1 | +1% | — | -1% | — | 17% | 4% |
| 97 |  KaVontae TurpinQuestionableWR97 · DAL v SF | KaVontae Turpin | Nope | 1.9 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 25.8 | 2.4 | -3% | -4% | -5% | -8% | 17% | 3% |
| 98 |  Kyle WilliamsWR98 · NE v DET | Kyle Williams | Nope | 1.9 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 23.5 | 2.0 | — | -7% | +4% | — | 67% | 5% |
| 99 |  Brandin CooksWR99 · SF v DAL | Brandin Cooks | Nope | 1.9 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 29.8 | 1.7 | +1% | +6% | +4% | — | 55% | 8% |
| 100 |  KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR100 · LAC v BAL | KeAndre Lambert-Smith | Nope | 1.9 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 1.7 | +6% | — | +3% | — | 49% | 13% |