Sleeper baseline stat projections, adjusted for Vegas implied team totals, recent usage trend, opponent points allowed by position, injuries and wind. Scored with your selected format.
Building projections…
2026 · Week 10 · Usage data through week 9 · Tap + to mark a player as yours
| Rk | Player | Tier | Proj | Floor | Ceiling | Team total | Base | Vegas | Usage | Matchup | Inj/Wx | Snap L3 | Tgt L3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Must Start15+ pts · 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 |  George KittleTE1 · SF v DAL | George Kittle | ||||||||||||
| Must Start |
| 16.5 |
| 11.1 |
| 24.6 |
| 29.8 |
| 15.3 |
| +1% |
| +9% |
| -2% |
| — |
| 86% |
| 28% |
| Good Start10–14.99 pts · 7 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 |  Tyler WarrenTE2 · IND v MIA | Tyler Warren | Good Start | 13.2 | 9.3 | 19.0 | 16.8 | 12.6 | -9% | +4% | +10% | — | 83% | 25% |
| 3 |  Travis KelceTE3 · KC v ATL | Travis Kelce | Good Start | 12.8 | 7.9 | 20.1 | 25.0 | 12.3 | — | +7% | -3% | — | 77% | 21% |
| 4 |  Trey McBrideTE4 · ARI v LAR | Trey McBride | Good Start | 11.9 | 7.5 | 18.5 | 15.0 | 15.0 | -12% | -3% | -7% | — | 90% | 26% |
| 5 |  Brock BowersTE5 · LV v SEA | Brock Bowers | Good Start | 11.5 | 6.6 | 18.8 | 17.0 | 15.2 | -15% | -4% | -7% | — | 90% | 28% |
| 6 |  Isaiah LikelyTE6 · NYG v WAS | Isaiah Likely | Good Start | 11.2 | 3.1 | 23.3 | 17.4 | 12.3 | -12% | -7% | +10% | — | 84% | 21% |
| 7 |  Hunter HenryQuestionableTE7 · NE v DET | Hunter Henry | Good Start | 10.3 | 7.1 | 15.1 | 23.5 | 10.0 | — | +2% | +10% | -8% | 46% | 16% |
| 8 |  Kyle Pitts Sr.TE8 · ATL v KC | Kyle Pitts Sr. | Good Start | 10.2 | 4.4 | 19.0 | 22.0 | 8.6 | +3% | +8% | +8% | — | 60% | 19% |
| Shaky Start7–9.99 pts · 19 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 |  Dalton KincaidQuestionableTE9 · BUF v NYJ | Dalton Kincaid | Shaky Start | 9.7 | 4.2 | 18.1 | 29.5 | 10.1 | -4% | +7% | +2% | -8% | 60% | 18% |
| 10 |  Harold Fannin Jr.QuestionableTE10 · CLE v HOU | Harold Fannin Jr. | Shaky Start | 9.7 | 3.9 | 18.3 | 18.0 | 10.5 | — | +10% | -10% | -8% | 84% | 21% |
| 11 |  Sam LaPortaTE11 · DET v NE | Sam LaPorta | Shaky Start | 9.6 | 4.3 | 17.7 | 26.0 | 12.0 | -3% | -10% | -8% | — | 93% | 15% |
| 12 |  AJ BarnerTE12 · SEA v LV | AJ Barner | Shaky Start | 9.5 | 6.3 | 14.3 | 23.5 | 7.7 | +2% | +10% | +9% | — | 82% | 16% |
| 13 |  T.J. HockensonQuestionableTE13 · MIN v GB | T.J. Hockenson | Shaky Start | 9.2 | 3.9 | 17.2 | 19.5 | 10.7 | +3% | +1% | -10% | -8% | 80% | 21% |
| 14 |  Darren WallerTE14 · CAR v NO | Darren Waller | Shaky Start | 9.2 | 3.3 | 18.1 | 23.3 | 8.7 | -3% | +2% | +7% | — | 53% | 13% |
| 15 |  Tucker KraftTE15 · GB v MIN | Tucker Kraft | Shaky Start | 9.1 | 4.9 | 15.3 | 22.5 | 10.7 | -3% | -3% | -10% | — | 86% | 14% |
| 16 |  Brenton StrangeTE16 · JAX v TEN | Brenton Strange | Shaky Start | 8.9 | 5.5 | 13.9 | 28.5 | 9.9 | — | -7% | -3% | — | 69% | 12% |
| 17 |  Pat FreiermuthTE17 · PIT v CIN | Pat Freiermuth | Shaky Start | 8.6 | 3.8 | 15.7 | 23.0 | 8.9 | +1% | -10% | +5% | — | 59% | 10% |
| 18 |  Darnell WashingtonTE18 · PIT v CIN | Darnell Washington | Shaky Start | 8.5 | 5.2 | 13.5 | 23.0 | 7.6 | +1% | +5% | +5% | — | 63% | 13% |
| 19 |  Greg DulcichTE19 · MIA v IND | Greg Dulcich | Shaky Start | 8.4 | 5.4 | 12.8 | 16.8 | 7.7 | +3% | +3% | +1% | — | 66% | 21% |
| 20 |  Mike GesickiTE20 · CIN v PIT | Mike Gesicki | Shaky Start | 8.3 | 4.1 | 14.7 | 26.5 | 9.8 | -6% | -7% | -3% | — | 51% | 8% |
| 21 |  Juwan JohnsonTE21 · NO v CAR | Juwan Johnson | Shaky Start | 8.1 | 2.5 | 16.5 | 25.8 | 8.6 | +6% | -10% | -1% | — | 56% | 7% |
| 22 |  Colby ParkinsonQuestionableTE22 · LAR v ARI | Colby Parkinson | Shaky Start | 7.9 | 4.4 | 13.1 | 24.5 | 7.4 | +2% | +10% | +4% | -8% | 68% | 16% |
| 23 |  Chig OkonkwoQuestionableTE23 · WAS v NYG | Chig Okonkwo | Shaky Start | 7.8 | 4.4 | 12.8 | 19.9 | 8.7 | -4% | +6% | -5% | -8% | 76% | 18% |
| 24 |  Dalton SchultzTE24 · HOU v CLE | Dalton Schultz | Shaky Start | 7.7 | 2.4 | 15.8 | 26.8 | 7.7 | +1% | -3% | +2% | — | 47% | 17% |
| 25 |  Brevyn Spann-FordTE25 · DAL v SF | Brevyn Spann-Ford | Shaky Start | 7.7 | 5.5 | 10.9 | 25.8 | 7.2 | -3% | +10% | — | — | 70% | 11% |
| 26 |  Tyler HigbeeQuestionableTE26 · LAR v ARI | Tyler Higbee | Shaky Start | 7.5 | 2.8 | 14.7 | 24.5 | 8.6 | +2% | -10% | +4% | -8% | 79% | 10% |
| 27 |  Eli RaridonTE27 · NE v DET | Eli Raridon | Shaky Start | 7.1 | 3.6 | 12.4 | 23.5 | 5.9 | — | +10% | +10% | — | 68% | 17% |
| Rather Not5–6.99 pts · 7 | ||||||||||||||
| 28 |  Tommy TrembleTE28 · CAR v NO | Tommy Tremble | Rather Not | 6.0 | 1.7 | 12.5 | 23.3 | 5.9 | -3% | -1% | +7% | — | 59% | 11% |
| 29 |  Mark AndrewsTE29 · BAL v LAC | Mark Andrews | Rather Not | 5.9 | 3.0 | 10.2 | 21.5 | 6.9 | +1% | -7% | -10% | — | 57% | 13% |
| 30 |  Mason TaylorTE30 · NYJ v BUF | Mason Taylor | Rather Not | 5.8 | 1.6 | 12.1 | 21.5 | 5.7 | +3% | +1% | -2% | — | 62% | 14% |
| 31 |  Elijah HigginsTE31 · ARI v LAR | Elijah Higgins | Rather Not | 5.5 | 3.1 | 9.1 | 15.0 | 6.3 | -12% | +7% | -7% | — | 49% | 8% |
| 32 |  Gunnar HelmTE32 · TEN v JAX | Gunnar Helm | Rather Not | 5.2 | 1.8 | 10.3 | 18.0 | 5.2 | — | +9% | -9% | — | 73% | 13% |
| 33 |  Noah FantTE33 · NO v CAR | Noah Fant | Rather Not | 5.1 | 1.4 | 10.7 | 25.8 | 5.4 | +6% | -10% | -1% | — | 50% | 5% |
| 34 |  Kenyon SadiqTE34 · NYJ v BUF | Kenyon Sadiq | Rather Not | 5.1 | 1.4 | 10.7 | 21.5 | 5.6 | +3% | -10% | -2% | — | 47% | 8% |
| NopeUnder 5 pts · 44 | ||||||||||||||
| 35 |  Oronde GadsdenTE35 · LAC v BAL | Oronde Gadsden | Nope | 4.6 | 1.6 | 9.2 | 17.0 | 4.2 | +6% | +5% | — | — | 48% | 14% |
| 36 |  Michael MayerTE36 · LV v SEA | Michael Mayer | Nope | 4.4 | 1.2 | 9.2 | 17.0 | 6.1 | -15% | -8% | -7% | — | 79% | 13% |
| 37 |  Charlie KolarTE37 · LAC v BAL | Charlie Kolar | Nope | 4.2 | 2.6 | 6.7 | 17.0 | 3.6 | +6% | +10% | — | — | 64% | 13% |
| 38 |  Dawson KnoxTE38 · BUF v NYJ | Dawson Knox | Nope | 3.9 | 1.7 | 7.3 | 29.5 | 3.8 | -4% | +6% | +2% | — | 70% | 9% |
| 39 |  Noah GrayTE39 · KC v ATL | Noah Gray | Nope | 3.8 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 25.0 | 4.0 | — | -2% | -3% | — | 56% | 6% |
| 40 |  Mitchell EvansTE40 · CAR v NO | Mitchell Evans | Nope | 3.8 | 2.1 | 6.2 | 23.3 | 3.6 | -3% | +2% | +7% | — | 43% | 6% |
| 41 |  Davis AllenQuestionableTE41 · LAR v ARI | Davis Allen | Nope | 3.7 | 1.3 | 7.4 | 24.5 | 3.5 | +2% | +9% | +4% | -8% | 58% | 8% |
| 42 |  Theo JohnsonTE42 · NYG v WAS | Theo Johnson | Nope | 3.3 | 0.9 | 6.8 | 17.4 | 3.2 | -12% | +6% | +10% | — | 36% | 7% |
| 43 |  Austin HooperTE43 · ATL v KC | Austin Hooper | Nope | 3.2 | 1.2 | 6.3 | 22.0 | 3.2 | +3% | -10% | +8% | — | 23% | 5% |
| 44 |  Luke SchoonmakerTE44 · DAL v SF | Luke Schoonmaker | Nope | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 25.8 | 3.2 | -3% | — | — | — | 17% | 3% |
| 45 |  Nate BoerkircherTE45 · JAX v TEN | Nate Boerkircher | Nope | 3.0 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 28.5 | 2.9 | — | +6% | -3% | — | 53% | 7% |
| 46 |  Matt HibnerTE46 · BAL v LAC | Matt Hibner | Nope | 2.6 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 21.5 | 2.8 | +1% | — | -10% | — | — | — |
| 47 |  Drew SampleTE47 · CIN v PIT | Drew Sample | Nope | 2.5 | 0.7 | 5.1 | 26.5 | 2.9 | -6% | -6% | -3% | — | 53% | 5% |
| 48 |  Oscar DelpTE48 · NO v CAR | Oscar Delp | Nope | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 25.8 | 2.1 | +6% | +10% | -1% | — | 33% | 3% |
| 49 |  Luke FarrellTE49 · SF v DAL | Luke Farrell | Nope | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 29.8 | 2.3 | +1% | -4% | -2% | — | 44% | 2% |
| 50 |  Josh CuevasTE50 · BAL v LAC | Josh Cuevas | Nope | 2.2 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 21.5 | 2.5 | +1% | -4% | -10% | — | 21% | 6% |
| 51 |  Foster MoreauTE51 · HOU v CLE | Foster Moreau | Nope | 2.1 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 26.8 | 2.1 | +1% | -5% | +2% | — | 46% | 6% |
| 52 |  Daniel BellingerTE52 · TEN v JAX | Daniel Bellinger | Nope | 2.0 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | — | +10% | -9% | — | 45% | 9% |
| 53 |  Blake WhiteheartTE53 · CLE v HOU | Blake Whiteheart | Nope | 2.0 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 18.0 | 2.2 | — | — | -10% | — | 30% | 3% |
| 54 |  Brock WrightTE54 · DET v NE | Brock Wright | Nope | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 26.0 | 1.7 | -3% | +10% | -8% | — | 53% | 5% |
| 55 |  Jonnu SmithTE55 · GB v MIN | Jonnu Smith | Nope | 1.7 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 22.5 | 2.1 | -3% | -6% | -10% | — | 27% | 4% |
| 56 |  Gavin BartholomewTE56 · MIN v GB | Gavin Bartholomew | Nope | 1.7 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 19.5 | 1.8 | +3% | — | -10% | — | 32% | 9% |
| 57 |  Eric SaubertTE57 · SEA v LV | Eric Saubert | Nope | 1.5 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 23.5 | 1.3 | +2% | +10% | +9% | — | 33% | 3% |
| 58 |  Teagan QuitorianoTE58 · ARI v LAR | Teagan Quitoriano | Nope | 1.5 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 15.0 | 1.9 | -12% | — | -7% | — | 39% | 4% |
| 59 |  John BatesTE59 · WAS v NYG | John Bates | Nope | 1.5 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 19.9 | 1.8 | -4% | -10% | -5% | — | 39% | 2% |
| 60 |  Tanner KoziolTE60 · JAX v TEN | Tanner Koziol | Nope | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 28.5 | 1.4 | — | — | -3% | — | 28% | 7% |
| 61 |  Will KacmarekQuestionableTE61 · MIA v IND | Will Kacmarek | Nope | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 16.8 | 1.1 | +3% | +10% | +1% | -8% | 35% | 7% |
| 62 |  Max KlareTE62 · LAR v ARI | Max Klare | Nope | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 24.5 | 1.1 | +2% | — | +4% | — | — | — |
| 63 |  Jackson HawesTE63 · BUF v NYJ | Jackson Hawes | Nope | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 29.5 | 0.9 | -4% | +9% | +2% | — | 44% | 3% |
| 64 |  Mo Alie-CoxQuestionableTE64 · IND v MIA | Mo Alie-Cox | Nope | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 16.8 | 0.9 | -9% | +4% | +10% | -8% | 48% | 6% |
| 65 |  Marlin KleinTE65 · HOU v CLE | Marlin Klein | Nope | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 26.8 | 0.9 | +1% | — | +2% | — | 11% | 3% |
| 66 |  Charlie WoernerTE66 · ATL v KC | Charlie Woerner | Nope | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 22.0 | 0.7 | +3% | +7% | +8% | — | 56% | 5% |
| 67 |  Ben SinnottTE67 · WAS v NYG | Ben Sinnott | Nope | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 19.9 | 0.9 | -4% | — | -5% | — | 51% | 2% |
| 68 |  Keleki LatuTE68 · BUF v NYJ | Keleki Latu | Nope | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 29.5 | 0.7 | -4% | +10% | +2% | — | 14% | 1% |
| 69 |  Pharaoh BrownTE69 · IND v MIA | Pharaoh Brown | Nope | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 16.8 | 0.8 | -9% | — | +10% | — | 5% | 3% |
| 70 |  Jake BriningstoolTE70 · KC v ATL | Jake Briningstool | Nope | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 25.0 | 0.8 | — | — | -3% | — | 14% | 3% |
| 71 |  Ben YurosekTE71 · MIN v GB | Ben Yurosek | Nope | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 19.5 | 0.7 | +3% | — | -10% | — | 40% | 4% |
| 72 |  Drew OgletreeTE72 · IND v MIA | Drew Ogletree | Nope | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 16.8 | 0.7 | -9% | — | +10% | — | — | — |
| 73 |  Jeremy RuckertTE73 · NYJ v BUF | Jeremy Ruckert | Nope | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 21.5 | 0.6 | +3% | +6% | -2% | — | 38% | 6% |
| 74 |  Cam GrandyTE74 · CIN v PIT | Cam Grandy | Nope | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 26.5 | 0.7 | -6% | — | -3% | — | — | — |
| 75 |  Jelani WoodsTE75 · NYJ v BUF | Jelani Woods | Nope | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 21.5 | 0.6 | +3% | -7% | -2% | — | 24% | 2% |
| 76 |  Quintin MorrisTE76 · JAX v TEN | Quintin Morris | Nope | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 28.5 | 0.5 | — | -10% | -3% | — | 11% | 0% |
| 77 |  Ian ThomasTE77 · LV v SEA | Ian Thomas | Nope | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 0.6 | -15% | +2% | -7% | — | 32% | 3% |
| 78 |  David NjokuIRTE78 · LAC v BAL | David Njoku | Nope | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 4.1 | +6% | — | — | -100% | 36% | 15% |