Sleeper baseline stat projections, adjusted for Vegas implied team totals, recent usage trend, opponent points allowed by position, injuries and wind. Scored with your selected format.
Building projections…
2026 · Week 10 · Usage data through week 9 · Tap + to mark a player as yours
| Rk | Player | Tier | Proj | Floor | Ceiling | Team total | Base | Vegas | Usage | Matchup | Inj/Wx | Snap L3 | Tgt L3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Must Start15+ pts · 10 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 |  Christian McCaffreyRB1 · SF v DAL | Christian McCaffrey | ||||||||||||
| Must Start |
| 25.1 |
| 21.2 |
| 31.0 |
| 29.8 |
| 22.6 |
| +1% |
| +4% |
| +6% |
| — |
| 68% |
| 22% |
| 2 |  Jahmyr GibbsRB2 · DET v NE | Jahmyr Gibbs | Must Start | 22.6 | 14.8 | 34.1 | 26.0 | 24.4 | -3% | — | -5% | — | 78% | 13% |
| 3 |  Kenneth Walker IIIRB3 · KC v ATL | Kenneth Walker III | Must Start | 21.0 | 13.8 | 31.9 | 25.0 | 20.8 | — | -3% | +5% | — | 73% | 14% |
| 4 |  Bijan RobinsonRB4 · ATL v KC | Bijan Robinson | Must Start | 20.0 | 12.1 | 31.9 | 22.0 | 20.1 | +3% | +1% | -4% | — | 81% | 15% |
| 5 |  Chuba HubbardRB5 · CAR v NO | Chuba Hubbard | Must Start | 19.2 | 14.7 | 25.9 | 23.3 | 17.9 | -3% | +1% | +10% | — | 81% | 18% |
| 6 |  Javonte WilliamsRB6 · DAL v SF | Javonte Williams | Must Start | 18.5 | 12.5 | 27.6 | 25.8 | 17.8 | -3% | +9% | -1% | — | 70% | 7% |
| 7 |  James Cook IIIRB7 · BUF v NYJ | James Cook III | Must Start | 17.9 | 14.5 | 22.9 | 29.5 | 16.9 | -4% | +5% | +5% | — | 61% | 8% |
| 8 |  Jaylen WarrenRB8 · PIT v CIN | Jaylen Warren | Must Start | 17.2 | 10.4 | 27.3 | 23.0 | 17.2 | +1% | +1% | -2% | — | 65% | 11% |
| 9 |  Kyren WilliamsRB9 · LAR v ARI | Kyren Williams | Must Start | 16.7 | 10.4 | 26.1 | 24.5 | 17.1 | +2% | -2% | -1% | — | 61% | 7% |
| 10 |  Ollie Gordon IIRB10 · MIA v IND | Ollie Gordon II | Must Start | 16.0 | 11.2 | 23.2 | 16.8 | 13.3 | +3% | +10% | +6% | — | 79% | 7% |
| Good Start10–14.99 pts · 13 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 |  Derrick HenryRB11 · BAL v LAC | Derrick Henry | Good Start | 14.5 | 7.1 | 25.6 | 21.5 | 15.4 | +1% | -8% | +1% | — | 49% | 5% |
| 12 |  Jonathan TaylorRB12 · IND v MIA | Jonathan Taylor | Good Start | 14.5 | 8.4 | 23.7 | 16.8 | 16.6 | -9% | -7% | +4% | — | 66% | 16% |
| 13 |  Zach CharbonnetRB13 · SEA v LV | Zach Charbonnet | Good Start | 13.5 | 12.1 | 15.8 | 23.5 | 12.4 | +2% | — | +7% | — | 47% | 9% |
| 14 |  Breece HallRB14 · NYJ v BUF | Breece Hall | Good Start | 12.5 | 9.2 | 17.4 | 21.5 | 11.8 | +3% | -2% | +4% | — | 52% | 12% |
| 15 |  Bhayshul TutenQuestionableRB15 · JAX v TEN | Bhayshul Tuten | Good Start | 12.4 | 7.2 | 20.3 | 28.5 | 14.1 | — | -4% | — | -8% | 48% | 7% |
| 16 |  Chase BrownRB16 · CIN v PIT | Chase Brown | Good Start | 12.1 | 8.6 | 17.3 | 26.5 | 13.7 | -6% | -4% | -3% | — | 69% | 16% |
| 17 |  Blake CorumRB17 · LAR v ARI | Blake Corum | Good Start | 12.0 | 8.0 | 18.1 | 24.5 | 11.1 | +2% | +9% | -1% | — | 37% | 4% |
| 18 |  Tony PollardQuestionableRB18 · TEN v JAX | Tony Pollard | Good Start | 11.9 | 4.0 | 23.7 | 18.0 | 12.6 | — | +10% | -7% | -8% | 78% | 9% |
| 19 |  Corey KinerRB19 · NE v DET | Corey Kiner | Good Start | 11.4 | 8.7 | 15.5 | 23.5 | 11.8 | — | +3% | -6% | — | 15% | 0% |
| 20 |  Rachaad WhiteRB20 · WAS v NYG | Rachaad White | Good Start | 10.6 | 6.9 | 16.0 | 19.9 | 11.0 | -4% | +4% | -4% | — | 57% | 11% |
| 21 |  Cam SkatteboRB21 · NYG v WAS | Cam Skattebo | Good Start | 10.4 | 7.0 | 15.4 | 17.4 | 12.3 | -12% | -2% | -3% | — | 61% | 4% |
| 22 |  Rico DowdleRB22 · PIT v CIN | Rico Dowdle | Good Start | 10.1 | 7.1 | 14.6 | 23.0 | 9.9 | +1% | +3% | -2% | — | 39% | 10% |
| 23 |  Jordan MasonRB23 · MIN v GB | Jordan Mason | Good Start | 10.1 | 7.3 | 14.3 | 19.5 | 9.5 | +3% | -3% | +6% | — | 47% | 6% |
| Shaky Start7–9.99 pts · 20 | ||||||||||||||
| 24 |  Quinshon JudkinsRB24 · CLE v HOU | Quinshon Judkins | Shaky Start | 9.6 | 4.4 | 17.4 | 18.0 | 9.9 | — | -4% | — | — | 42% | 4% |
| 25 |  Audric EstimeRB25 · NO v CAR | Audric Estime | Shaky Start | 9.5 | 6.8 | 13.6 | 25.8 | 8.2 | +6% | — | +9% | — | 39% | 2% |
| 26 |  Jadarian PriceRB26 · SEA v LV | Jadarian Price | Shaky Start | 9.2 | 6.4 | 13.4 | 23.5 | 8.6 | +2% | -2% | +7% | — | 37% | 11% |
| 27 |  Tyler AllgeierRB27 · ARI v LAR | Tyler Allgeier | Shaky Start | 9.1 | 2.5 | 18.8 | 15.0 | 9.9 | -12% | +8% | -4% | — | 67% | 10% |
| 28 |  Braelon AllenRB28 · NYJ v BUF | Braelon Allen | Shaky Start | 9.0 | 3.6 | 17.1 | 21.5 | 7.8 | +3% | +7% | +4% | — | 73% | 12% |
| 29 |  Ashton JeantyRB29 · LV v SEA | Ashton Jeanty | Shaky Start | 8.9 | 3.0 | 17.9 | 17.0 | 11.9 | -15% | -10% | -2% | — | 59% | 19% |
| 30 |  Aaron Jones Sr.RB30 · MIN v GB | Aaron Jones Sr. | Shaky Start | 8.9 | 4.5 | 15.5 | 19.5 | 9.0 | +3% | -10% | +6% | — | 33% | 5% |
| 31 |  Dylan SampsonRB31 · CLE v HOU | Dylan Sampson | Shaky Start | 8.6 | 4.7 | 14.5 | 18.0 | 7.8 | — | +10% | — | — | 55% | 16% |
| 32 |  Austin EkelerRB32 · WAS v NYG | Austin Ekeler | Shaky Start | 8.2 | 7.1 | 9.9 | 19.9 | 8.5 | -4% | +5% | -4% | — | 29% | 5% |
| 33 |  Justice HillRB33 · BAL v LAC | Justice Hill | Shaky Start | 8.1 | 4.5 | 13.6 | 21.5 | 7.2 | +1% | +10% | +1% | — | 49% | 20% |
| 34 |  Chris Rodriguez Jr.QuestionableRB34 · JAX v TEN | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | Shaky Start | 7.9 | 4.8 | 12.6 | 28.5 | 7.8 | — | +10% | — | -8% | 32% | 5% |
| 35 |  Lan LarisonRB35 · NE v DET | Lan Larison | Shaky Start | 7.7 | 6.8 | 9.1 | 23.5 | 8.2 | — | — | -6% | — | 11% | 3% |
| 36 |  Omarion HamptonRB36 · LAC v BAL | Omarion Hampton | Shaky Start | 7.7 | 4.3 | 12.8 | 17.0 | 7.9 | +6% | -6% | -3% | — | 40% | 7% |
| 37 |  Kimani VidalRB37 · LAC v BAL | Kimani Vidal | Shaky Start | 7.6 | 4.3 | 12.7 | 17.0 | 6.7 | +6% | +10% | -3% | — | 41% | 9% |
| 38 |  Devin SingletaryRB38 · NYG v WAS | Devin Singletary | Shaky Start | 7.3 | 3.0 | 13.8 | 17.4 | 8.0 | -12% | +7% | -3% | — | 54% | 8% |
| 39 |  Emmett JohnsonRB39 · KC v ATL | Emmett Johnson | Shaky Start | 7.2 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 7.0 | — | -2% | +5% | — | 25% | 8% |
| 40 |  David MontgomeryQuestionableRB40 · HOU v CLE | David Montgomery | Shaky Start | 7.1 | 2.4 | 14.3 | 26.8 | 8.3 | +1% | -7% | -1% | -8% | 44% | 3% |
| 41 |  Kaleb JohnsonRB41 · GB v MIN | Kaleb Johnson | Shaky Start | 7.1 | 3.8 | 11.9 | 22.5 | 7.3 | -3% | +5% | -5% | — | 20% | 0% |
| 42 |  Woody MarksQuestionableRB42 · HOU v CLE | Woody Marks | Shaky Start | 7.1 | 5.6 | 9.2 | 26.8 | 6.9 | +1% | +10% | -1% | -8% | 78% | 8% |
| 43 |  Seth McGowanRB43 · IND v MIA | Seth McGowan | Shaky Start | 7.0 | 4.5 | 10.8 | 16.8 | 6.8 | -9% | +10% | +4% | — | 30% | 3% |
| Rather Not5–6.99 pts · 7 | ||||||||||||||
| 44 |  Zonovan KnightQuestionableRB44 · ARI v LAR | Zonovan Knight | Rather Not | 6.6 | 4.4 | 9.9 | 15.0 | 8.6 | -12% | — | -4% | -8% | — | — |
| 45 |  Kaelon BlackRB45 · SF v DAL | Kaelon Black | Rather Not | 6.6 | 3.9 | 10.6 | 29.8 | 5.6 | +1% | +9% | +6% | — | 32% | 4% |
| 46 |  Alvin KamaraRB46 · NO v CAR | Alvin Kamara | Rather Not | 6.5 | 1.8 | 13.5 | 25.8 | 5.6 | +6% | +1% | +9% | — | 44% | 15% |
| 47 |  Emari DemercadoRB47 · HOU v CLE | Emari Demercado | Rather Not | 5.8 | 4.8 | 7.3 | 26.8 | 5.7 | +1% | — | -1% | — | 16% | 2% |
| 48 |  Ty JohnsonRB48 · BUF v NYJ | Ty Johnson | Rather Not | 5.5 | 3.3 | 8.8 | 29.5 | 5.3 | -4% | +3% | +5% | — | 21% | 8% |
| 49 |  Keaton MitchellQuestionableRB49 · LAC v BAL | Keaton Mitchell | Rather Not | 5.5 | 2.3 | 10.2 | 17.0 | 6.1 | +6% | -6% | -3% | -8% | 27% | 9% |
| 50 |  Samaje PerineRB50 · CIN v PIT | Samaje Perine | Rather Not | 5.5 | 1.8 | 10.9 | 26.5 | 6.1 | -6% | -2% | -3% | — | 33% | 1% |
| NopeUnder 5 pts · 27 | ||||||||||||||
| 51 |  Mike Washington Jr.RB51 · LV v SEA | Mike Washington Jr. | Nope | 4.8 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 17.0 | 5.3 | -15% | +10% | -2% | — | 40% | 1% |
| 52 |  Khalil HerbertRB52 · ATL v KC | Khalil Herbert | Nope | 4.5 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 22.0 | 4.6 | +3% | — | -4% | — | 18% | 6% |
| 53 |  Sione VakiQuestionableRB53 · DET v NE | Sione Vaki | Nope | 3.9 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 26.0 | 4.2 | -3% | +9% | -5% | -8% | 24% | 4% |
| 54 |  Pierre Strong Jr.RB54 · GB v MIN | Pierre Strong Jr. | Nope | 3.7 | 1.0 | 7.7 | 22.5 | 4.0 | -3% | — | -5% | — | 38% | 7% |
| 55 |  Jaylen WrightRB55 · MIA v IND | Jaylen Wright | Nope | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 16.8 | 2.8 | +3% | +10% | +6% | — | 13% | 3% |
| 56 |  Tyjae SpearsQuestionableRB56 · TEN v JAX | Tyjae Spears | Nope | 3.1 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 18.0 | 3.7 | — | -3% | -7% | -8% | 38% | 11% |
| 57 |  Kaytron AllenRB57 · MIA v IND | Kaytron Allen | Nope | 2.9 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 16.8 | 3.0 | +3% | -10% | +6% | — | 10% | 2% |
| 58 |  LeQuint Allen Jr.RB58 · JAX v TEN | LeQuint Allen Jr. | Nope | 2.9 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 28.5 | 2.9 | — | +1% | — | — | 10% | 5% |
| 59 |  MarShawn LloydRB59 · GB v MIN | MarShawn Lloyd | Nope | 2.8 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 22.5 | 3.3 | -3% | -9% | -5% | — | 31% | 3% |
| 60 |  George HolaniRB60 · SEA v LV | George Holani | Nope | 2.2 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 23.5 | 2.2 | +2% | -10% | +7% | — | 19% | 3% |
| 61 |  Michael CarterRB61 · TEN v JAX | Michael Carter | Nope | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 18.0 | 1.9 | — | — | -7% | — | 25% | 3% |
| 62 |  Dare OgunbowaleRB62 · HOU v CLE | Dare Ogunbowale | Nope | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 26.8 | 1.6 | +1% | — | -1% | — | 6% | 1% |
| 63 |  Ameer AbdullahRB63 · JAX v TEN | Ameer Abdullah | Nope | 1.5 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 28.5 | 1.4 | — | +10% | — | — | 10% | 0% |
| 64 |  Ray DavisRB64 · BUF v NYJ | Ray Davis | Nope | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 29.5 | 1.2 | -4% | +10% | +5% | — | 16% | 2% |
| 65 |  DeeJay DallasRB65 · MIN v GB | DeeJay Dallas | Nope | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 19.5 | 1.3 | +3% | -10% | +6% | — | 20% | 1% |
| 66 |  CJ DonaldsonQuestionableRB66 · NO v CAR | CJ Donaldson | Nope | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 25.8 | 1.1 | +6% | +10% | +9% | -8% | 38% | 4% |
| 67 |  Emanuel WilsonRB67 · SEA v LV | Emanuel Wilson | Nope | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 23.5 | 1.1 | +2% | +7% | +7% | — | 46% | 4% |
| 68 |  DJ HermanRB68 · MIA v IND | DJ Herman | Nope | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 16.8 | 1.1 | +3% | — | +6% | — | 33% | 7% |
| 69 |  Jaleel McLaughlinRB69 · CLE v HOU | Jaleel McLaughlin | Nope | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 18.0 | 1.0 | — | +10% | — | — | 28% | 6% |
| 70 |  Trevor EtienneRB70 · CAR v NO | Trevor Etienne | Nope | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 23.3 | 0.7 | -3% | +8% | +10% | — | 16% | 2% |
| 71 |  Isaiah DavisRB71 · NYJ v BUF | Isaiah Davis | Nope | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 21.5 | 0.6 | +3% | +5% | +4% | — | 13% | 3% |
| 72 |  Jaydn OttQuestionableRB72 · KC v ATL | Jaydn Ott | Nope | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 25.0 | 0.7 | — | — | +5% | -8% | 3% | 0% |
| 73 |  Tahj BrooksRB73 · CIN v PIT | Tahj Brooks | Nope | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 26.5 | 0.6 | -6% | +10% | -3% | — | 2% | 0% |
| 74 |  Connor HeywardRB74 · LV v SEA | Connor Heyward | Nope | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 17.0 | 0.6 | -15% | — | -2% | — | — | — |
| 75 |  Travis Etienne Jr.IRRB75 · NO v CAR | Travis Etienne Jr. | Nope | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.8 | 8.8 | +6% | — | +9% | -100% | 50% | 10% |
| 76 |  Jonathon BrooksIRRB76 · CAR v NO | Jonathon Brooks | Nope | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.3 | 4.9 | -3% | — | +10% | -100% | 25% | 5% |
| 77 |  Chris BrooksIRRB77 · GB v MIN | Chris Brooks | Nope | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.5 | 4.1 | -3% | -7% | -5% | -100% | 35% | 4% |