Sleeper baseline stat projections, adjusted for Vegas implied team totals, recent usage trend, opponent points allowed by position, injuries and wind. Scored with your selected format.
Building projections…
2026 · Week 10 · Usage data through week 9 · Tap + to mark a player as yours
| Rk | Player | Tier | Proj | Floor | Ceiling | Team total | Base | Vegas | Usage | Matchup | Inj/Wx | Snap L3 | Tgt L3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Must Start15+ pts · 18 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 |  Josh AllenQB1 · BUF v NYJ | Josh Allen | ||||||||||||
| Must Start |
| 24.3 |
| 16.8 |
| 35.5 |
| 29.5 |
| 24.3 |
| -4% |
| +2% |
| +2% |
| — |
| 97% |
| — |
| 2 |  Brock PurdyQB2 · SF v DAL | Brock Purdy | Must Start | 23.9 | 19.0 | 31.2 | 29.8 | 22.0 | +1% | +2% | +6% | — | 97% | — |
| 3 |  Drake MayeQB3 · NE v DET | Drake Maye | Must Start | 23.9 | 15.4 | 36.6 | 23.5 | 21.8 | — | -1% | +10% | — | 94% | — |
| 4 |  Trevor LawrenceQB4 · JAX v TEN | Trevor Lawrence | Must Start | 20.2 | 14.9 | 28.2 | 28.5 | 19.9 | — | -2% | +4% | — | 94% | — |
| 5 |  Jayden DanielsQB5 · WAS v NYG | Jayden Daniels | Must Start | 18.7 | 13.7 | 26.2 | 19.1 | 18.3 | -6% | +3% | +5% | — | 100% | — |
| 6 |  Patrick MahomesQB6 · KC v ATL | Patrick Mahomes | Must Start | 18.7 | 13.0 | 27.1 | 25.0 | 18.2 | — | +1% | +1% | — | 98% | — |
| 7 |  Joe BurrowQB7 · CIN v PIT | Joe Burrow | Must Start | 18.4 | 12.4 | 27.4 | 26.5 | 21.8 | -6% | -1% | -9% | — | 98% | — |
| 8 |  Bryce YoungQB8 · CAR v NO | Bryce Young | Must Start | 18.0 | 11.9 | 27.2 | 23.3 | 18.4 | -3% | -2% | +3% | — | 92% | — |
| 9 |  Tyler ShoughQB9 · NO v CAR | Tyler Shough | Must Start | 17.9 | 11.5 | 27.5 | 25.8 | 17.2 | +6% | -2% | +1% | — | 99% | — |
| 10 |  Aaron RodgersQB10 · PIT v CIN | Aaron Rodgers | Must Start | 17.5 | 11.9 | 25.9 | 23.0 | 17.2 | +1% | -1% | +2% | — | 98% | — |
| 11 |  Jared GoffQB11 · DET v NE | Jared Goff | Must Start | 16.9 | 10.5 | 26.5 | 26.0 | 18.0 | -3% | -5% | +2% | — | 100% | — |
| 12 |  Matthew StaffordQB12 · LAR v ARI | Matthew Stafford | Must Start | 16.8 | 10.6 | 26.1 | 24.5 | 16.0 | +2% | -6% | +10% | — | 100% | — |
| 13 |  Geno SmithQB13 · NYJ v BUF | Geno Smith | Must Start | 16.6 | 11.5 | 24.3 | 21.5 | 16.3 | +3% | — | -1% | — | 100% | — |
| 14 |  Dak PrescottQB14 · DAL v SF | Dak Prescott | Must Start | 16.3 | 12.0 | 22.8 | 25.8 | 18.2 | -3% | -5% | -3% | — | 100% | — |
| 15 |  J.J. McCarthyQB15 · NYG v WAS | J.J. McCarthy | Must Start | 16.1 | 11.5 | 23.1 | 17.6 | 15.7 | -11% | +10% | +5% | — | 69% | — |
| 16 |  Drew LockQuestionableQB16 · SEA v LV | Drew Lock | Must Start | 15.9 | 12.9 | 20.4 | 23.5 | 15.6 | +2% | — | +8% | -8% | 97% | — |
| 17 |  C.J. StroudQB17 · HOU v CLE | C.J. Stroud | Must Start | 15.4 | 10.1 | 23.4 | 26.8 | 16.7 | +1% | -4% | -5% | — | 96% | — |
| 18 |  Deshaun WatsonQB18 · CLE v HOU | Deshaun Watson | Must Start | 15.3 | 12.2 | 19.9 | 18.0 | 14.6 | — | +1% | +3% | — | 98% | — |
| Good Start10–14.99 pts · 8 | ||||||||||||||
| 19 |  Justin HerbertQB19 · LAC v BAL | Justin Herbert | Good Start | 14.2 | 12.7 | 16.5 | 17.0 | 12.9 | +6% | +1% | +2% | — | 93% | — |
| 20 |  Jordan LoveQB20 · GB v MIN | Jordan Love | Good Start | 14.1 | 8.9 | 22.0 | 22.5 | 16.4 | -3% | -1% | -10% | — | 96% | — |
| 21 |  Michael Penix Jr.QB21 · ATL v KC | Michael Penix Jr. | Good Start | 13.9 | 8.1 | 22.8 | 22.0 | 14.6 | +3% | +2% | -9% | — | 100% | — |
| 22 |  Kirk CousinsQB22 · MIN v GB | Kirk Cousins | Good Start | 13.1 | 9.2 | 18.8 | 19.5 | 13.5 | +3% | — | -7% | — | 100% | — |
| 23 |  Kyle McCordQB23 · MIA v IND | Kyle McCord | Good Start | 12.5 | 8.0 | 19.2 | 16.8 | 11.6 | +3% | — | +4% | — | — | — |
| 24 |  Jacoby BrissettQB24 · BAL v LAC | Jacoby Brissett | Good Start | 12.3 | 6.1 | 21.7 | 21.5 | 12.5 | +1% | -2% | — | — | 86% | — |
| 25 |  Daniel JonesQB25 · IND v MIA | Daniel Jones | Good Start | 11.2 | 8.9 | 14.6 | 16.8 | 12.3 | -9% | -4% | +4% | — | 93% | — |
| 26 |  Cam WardQB26 · TEN v JAX | Cam Ward | Good Start | 11.0 | 5.3 | 19.4 | 18.0 | 11.9 | — | — | -8% | — | 100% | — |
| Shaky Start7–9.99 pts · 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 27 |  Carson BeckQB27 · ARI v LAR | Carson Beck | Shaky Start | 9.1 | 5.8 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 10.5 | -12% | — | -1% | — | — | — |
| 28 |  Fernando MendozaQB28 · LV v SEA | Fernando Mendoza | Shaky Start | 8.2 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 17.0 | 10.7 | -15% | — | -10% | — | 17% | — |